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June 2026 Market Stats: Contracts Converted, Inventory Compressed, Local Markets Split

Southwest Florida Market Update

June 2026 Market Stats

Contracts converted. Inventory compressed. Local pricing stayed selective.

+9.3%
Closed Sales
All Properties
+36.5%
Pending Sales
All Properties
+4.6%
Median Price
All Properties
-17.1%
Homes for Sale
All Properties
📅

Data Timing Note

Data current as of July 8, 2026. All data sourced directly from the Bonita Springs–Estero Board of REALTORS® MLS / Domus Analytics databases unless otherwise noted.

June 2026 did not change the 2026 market story. It confirmed it.

For months, our articles have described Southwest Florida as active but selective: buyers were still writing contracts, sellers were no longer operating inside a scarcity-driven market, and pricing strength depended more on execution than on broad market heat. June is the clearest confirmation of that framework yet. Across Southwest Florida, closed sales rose 9.3% year over year, pending sales climbed 36.5%, median sale price across all property types increased 4.6%, and total inventory fell 17.1%. That is not the profile of a stalled market. It is the profile of a market that is moving, absorbing supply, and rewarding realistic positioning.

June 2026 Regional Stats at a Glance
New Listings
4,430 4,747
-6.7%
Pending Sales
4,280 3,135
+36.5%
Closed Sales
3,469 3,174
+9.3%
Median DOM
59 Days 64
-9.1%
Median Price
$362,085 $346,027
+4.6%
% List Price Rec.
94.8% 94.1%
+0.7%
Homes For Sale
23,865 28,797
-17.1%
Months Supply
9 Mos 10
-15.6%

“The market is no longer just showing strength in contracts. In June, that strength showed up more clearly in closings.”

Watch the June Market Breakdown

For a quick video overview of the June numbers, watch our latest market breakdown before digging into the full segment-by-segment data below.

  • Closed sales improved year over year.
  • Pending sales remained one of the strongest lead indicators.
  • Inventory continued to compress compared to June 2025.

The strongest June signal is that transaction strength broadened. In single-family, pending sales rose 35.6%, closed sales rose 3.7%, median days on market improved from 63 to 50, the median price increased to $449,000, inventory dropped to 9,780, and months of supply fell from 7 to 5. In condos, pending sales rose 40.5%, closed sales jumped 29.0%, days on market improved modestly, inventory fell 22.6%, and months of supply dropped from 10 to 6. Condos still look like the volume leader, but single-family showed a firmer pricing result in June.

Single-Family vs. Condo: Two Different Strengths

Single-Family Homes

Tighter and Firmer
New Listings 2,386 (-4.1%)
Pending Sales 2,548 (+35.6%)
Closed Sales 1,971 (+3.7%)
Median Days on Market 50 Days (-20.6%)
Median Sales Price $449,000 (+6.1%)
% List Price Received 96.2% (+0.8%)
Inventory 9,780 (-22.8%)
Months Supply 5 Mos (-25.6%)
Single-family sectors showed stronger pricing resiliency and faster inventory absorption.

Condos & Townhomes

Faster Transaction Rebound
New Listings 948 (-6.8%)
Pending Sales 1,137 (+40.5%)
Closed Sales 957 (+29.0%)
Median Days on Market 72 Days (-5.3%)
Median Sales Price $345,000 (+0.4%)
% List Price Received 94.2% (+0.4%)
Inventory 5,966 (-22.6%)
Months Supply 6 Mos (-40.0%)
Condos showed much higher transaction velocity, while YTD pricing remained down 5.1%.

That does not mean June was a one-note seller-market comeback. The selective side of the story is still visible in the details. Condo median price was only slightly positive year over year for June and remained down 5.1% on a year-to-date basis. Land and residential-income properties were more mixed, with softer year-to-date closing and pricing results and longer market times in some categories. Even the broader all-property dataset showed a healthier market, not a speculative one: days on market improved to 59, and percent of list price received rose to 94.8%, but the market still stopped short of the speed or pricing intensity associated with 2021-style conditions.

Property Type Momentum Matrix

Single-Family

Tighter & Firmer
Pendings+35.6%
Closed+3.7%
Price+6.1%
Inventory-22.8%

Condo / TH

Volume Rebound
Pendings+40.5%
Closed+29.0%
Price+0.4%
Inventory-22.6%

Vacant Land

Active, Slower Conv
Pendings+35.3%
Closed+0.6%
Price-0.7%
Inventory-4.3%

Income Prop

Mixed & Sensitive
Pendings+14.9%
Closed+15.2%
Price-6.7%
Inventory+12.9%
Every category showed activity, but not every category showed the same pricing power.

Local Markets Moved Together, But Not Identically

The local graphics make the June story easier to feel. In Bonita Springs–Estero, the June infographic shows closed sales up 20%, pending sales up 21%, new listings down 8%, and homes for sale down 31%. The market brought on 257 new listings and sold 280, which means the area absorbed slightly more than it added during the month. The median sale price came in at $555,000, flat year over year, and median days on market stood at 69. That is classic "tightening without frenzy" in our articles: strong local volume, less available supply, and pricing that is holding, not exploding.

Naples looked strong as well, but with its own shape. The June Naples infographic shows closed sales up 18%, pending sales up 43%, new listings down 6%, and homes for sale down 24%. New listings totaled 795, while listings sold totaled 852, another sign that demand is still absorbing more than the market is adding. The median price was $607,500, up 2%, and median days on market were 69. Compared with our earlier 2026 commentary, June makes Naples look active and still relatively premium, but no longer meaningfully replenished in real time.

Fort Myers remained the most affordability-sensitive of the three city graphics. Its June infographic shows closed sales up 9.5% and pending sales up 30.2%, but the median sale price was $339,000, down 7.2% year over year. Homes for sale were down 23.2%, yet Fort Myers added 642 new listings and sold 567, meaning it did not absorb monthly inflow as completely as Bonita Springs–Estero or Naples did. That is important. It suggests Fort Myers is still participating in the region’s stronger transaction environment, but it is doing so with more price sensitivity and less immediate inventory drain.

June 2026 Local Market Comparisons

Bonita Springs-Estero

Tighter, Steady Pricing
Closed Sales+20%
Pending Sales+21%
New Listings-8%
Median DOM69
Median Price$555,000 (0%)
Homes for Sale-31%
257 New vs. 280 Sold
Net inventory drain of 23 homes

Naples

Strong Absorption, Premium Stability
Closed Sales+18%
Pending Sales+43%
New Listings-6%
Median DOM69
Median Price$607,500 (+2%)
Homes for Sale-24%
795 New vs. 852 Sold
Net inventory drain of 57 homes

Fort Myers

Active, Price-Sensitive
Closed Sales+9.5%
Pending Sales+30.2%
New Listings-9.8%
Median DOM63
Median Price$339,000 (-7.2%)
Homes for Sale-23.2%
642 New vs. 567 Sold
Net inventory surplus of 75 homes

Absorption Check: New Listings vs. Listings Sold

Bonita Springs–Estero Sold 23 more than added
New: 257
Sold: 280
Naples Sold 57 more than added
New: 795
Sold: 852
Fort Myers Added 75 more than sold
New: 642
Sold: 567
New Listings Added
Listings Sold (Contracts Executed)

Bonita Springs–Estero and Naples both sold more listings than they added in June, helping explain the stronger inventory compression in those local markets. Fort Myers remained active, but it added more new supply than it sold, which supports the more price-sensitive reading in that market.

Bonita Springs–Estero June 2026 Real Estate Infographic
Source Visual: Bonita Springs–Estero June 2026 Board Infographic
Naples June 2026 Real Estate Infographic
Source Visual: Naples June 2026 Board Infographic
Fort Myers June 2026 Real Estate Infographic
Source Visual: Fort Myers June 2026 Board Infographic (True)

From May to June: Contract Strength Became Closing Strength

Reviewing the month-over-month trajectory from May 2026 to June 2026 highlights the market's broadening volume conversion.

Single-Family Homes Shift

Closed Sales YoY
-5.9% +3.7%
Turned Positive
Median Price
$440K $449K
Increased
Inventory
10,588 9,780
Tightened
Months Supply
5.7 Mo 5.0 Mo
Compressed

Condos & Townhomes Shift

Closed Sales YoY
+14.3% +29.0%
Accelerated
Median Price
$357.6K $345.0K
Selective
Inventory
6,838 5,966
Tightened
Months Supply
6.7 Mo 6.0 Mo
Compressed

“June did not replace the May story. It moved it forward.”

For the Data-Minded Reader: Fast Stats Local Market Update Detail

Single-Family Fast Stats

MetricJune 2025June 2026Change
New Listings1,037917-11.6%
Pending Sales8381,115+33.1%
Closed Sales839895+6.7%
Days on Market6961-11.6%
Median Price$600,000$600,0000.0%
Sold Dollar Vol.$956.0M$974.1M+1.9%
% List Price Rec.93.90%95.20%+1.4%
Inventory5,7494,199-27.0%
Months Supply6.94.7-31.5%

Condo Fast Stats

MetricJune 2025June 2026Change
New Listings790759-3.9%
Pending Sales681938+37.7%
Closed Sales619789+27.5%
Days on Market74740.0%
Median Price$360,000$350,000-2.8%
Sold Dollar Vol.$321.2M$451.9M+40.7%
% List Price Rec.93.96%94.14%+0.2%
Inventory6,1924,765-23.0%
Months Supply10.06.0-39.6%

Supporting Trends and Long-Term Structure

The June numbers also read especially well when placed against our earlier 2026 forecasts. January told readers to watch whether pendings would outrun new listings. February said the spring pipeline looked stronger if those contracts converted. March said the key pattern was “pendings up, listings down.” April argued that the market was absorbing rather than overheating, and May kept the same thesis while resisting either euphoric or negative exaggeration. June supports every major part of that sequence. It shows a market that is still selective but more broadly constructive than it looked at the start of the year.

Pending Sales Trend

June

Contracts remained one of the strongest indicators in June.

Closed Sales Trend

June

June showed clearer conversion from contract activity into completed sales.

Inventory of Homes for Sale

June

Available supply remained below last year’s level.

Months Supply of Inventory

June

Months of supply continues to normalize downward.

How the 2026 Thesis Held Up

Jan
January

Active but selective; watch pendings vs. new listings.

Confirmed
Feb
February

Spring pipeline strengthened.

Confirmed
Mar
March

Pendings rose while supply tightened.

Confirmed
Apr
April

Absorption, not overheating.

Confirmed
May
May

Housing active, broader economic backdrop mixed.

Advanced
Jun
June

Closings confirmed the housing-side thesis more broadly.

Current

The 2026 market thesis held: active, selective, and increasingly defined by absorption.

More June Market Context

For additional context on how these numbers translate into local conversations with buyers and sellers, watch the second June market video below.

The best one-line read for June is this: the market is no longer just promising stronger conditions through contracts; it is now showing them more clearly through closings as well. That matters because our readers do not need slogans. They need the operating truth. In June 2026, Southwest Florida looked more active, more absorbed, and still highly dependent on local pricing discipline, property type, and submarket positioning.

June's Bottom Line

“The market is moving, but it is still selective. Contracts stayed strong, closings improved, and inventory tightened—but pricing still depends on property type, location, and positioning.”

+36.5% Pending Sales
+9.3% Closed Sales
-17.1% Homes For Sale